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Chelsea vs Brighton Match Preview: Recent Form, Key Stats and Prediction

Chelsea and Brighton meet at Stamford Bridge on Saturday in a Premier League clash that feels pivotal for both sides after contrasting midweek victories in the Carabao Cup.

Enzo Maresca’s Chelsea had to dig deep to overturn a half-time deficit against League One Lincoln City, while Fabian Hürzeler’s Brighton delivered a 6-0 demolition of Barnsley, powered by a four-goal haul from Diego Gómez.

The atmosphere at Stamford Bridge is likely to be tense. Chelsea fans saw their side suffer consecutive defeats to Bayern Munich and Manchester United before the nervy Lincoln win, and questions remain about the squad’s depth amid a mounting injury list.

Meanwhile, Brighton travel to London with confidence restored, though their league form has been inconsistent and their away record poor.

Adding intrigue to the fixture is the recent head-to-head record. Hürzeler has beaten Maresca twice already, both last season, though Chelsea claimed a 4-2 home win inspired by Cole Palmer.

Brighton can draw level on points with the Blues if they secure victory, while Chelsea are desperate to maintain their impressive 12-match unbeaten run at home in the league.

Here is out Chelsea vs Brighton Match Preview.

Chelsea vs Brighton Match Preview

Chelsea enter this clash juggling fixture congestion with Champions League commitments against Benfica and Ajax on the horizon, plus a looming league meeting with Liverpool.

Squad rotation has been necessary, but it has also exposed their lack of attacking options with Cole Palmer doubtful, Facundo Buonanotte ineligible, and João Pedro facing a race for fitness. That might once again see academy talent Tyrique George or loanee recall Marc Guiu lead the line.

The Blues’ resilience at Stamford Bridge, however, cannot be ignored. They have won nine of their last 12 home league fixtures, keeping seven clean sheets in that time.

Maresca has built a side that may wobble on the road but is resolute in front of their fans. Their defensive solidity will be tested against a Brighton team that has proved unpredictable but dangerous in bursts.

Brighton’s story has been one of extremes. On one hand, they’ve dismantled top-tier opposition like Manchester City, but on the other, they’ve slipped to defeats against Bournemouth and Everton.

Last weekend’s draw with Tottenham was the perfect summary of their campaign so far, brilliant for 45 minutes before fading badly. Hürzeler will want to address those lapses in concentration at Stamford Bridge.

The visitors’ key man could once again be Diego Gómez, whose stunning midweek performance forces him into contention for a Premier League start.

Alongside Mitoma’s creativity and Welbeck’s experience, Brighton possess weapons to disrupt Chelsea’s rhythm, though they remain without Solly March, Adam Webster, and Jack Hinshelwood through injury.

Recent Form

Chelsea
Maresca’s men arrive having snapped a three-game winless streak with that scrappy Carabao Cup win. Before then, a fiery defeat to Manchester United at Old Trafford exposed both discipline and attacking deficiencies, with Chelsea registering more yellow cards than shots.

The prior loss to Bayern Munich only deepened concerns that this squad lacks depth to compete on multiple fronts.

Yet, at home, Chelsea have been a different beast. Unbeaten in 12 league matches at Stamford Bridge, their mix of defensive stability and crowd-driven intensity has often compensated for attacking struggles.

It is that fortress-like form that provides Maresca his biggest hope heading into Saturday’s clash.

The Blues have also shown a knack for bouncing back quickly from setbacks under Maresca, a resilience that could prove crucial with Liverpool and Nottingham Forest coming up next.

Saturday is about restoring rhythm in the league before their European adventures begin.

Brighton
The Seagulls’ campaign so far has been littered with inconsistency. Their 6-0 EFL Cup win was exhilarating, but it came sandwiched between frustrating league results.

A 2-2 draw with Spurs highlighted both their attacking flair and defensive fragility, leaving them languishing in the bottom half of the table.

Hürzeler has taken just one Premier League win from five, and worryingly, all of their points have come at home. Brighton remain without an away point in the league, an issue that must be solved if they are to climb the table. Stamford Bridge, historically, has not been kind to them either, with only one win in 12 visits.

Still, the presence of Mitoma, Gómez, and Rutter ensures Brighton have the firepower to trouble even resilient defenses.

If they can marry their cup form with league consistency, the Seagulls could yet soar, but this trip to Chelsea is as much a test of mentality as it is of quality.

Premier LeagueAll Competitions
ChelseaDraw – Win – Win – Draw – LossWin – Win – Draw – Loss – Loss – Win
BrightonDraw – Loss – Win – Loss – DrawLoss – Win – Win – Loss – Draw – Win

Chelsea vs Brighton: Key Stats

  • Chelsea are unbeaten in 12 straight Premier League home matches, winning nine.

  • Brighton have just one clean sheet in their last 17 league games.

  • Maresca’s side have not fielded a player aged 30 or older in any league squad this season, highlighting the youth-driven nature of their rebuild.

  • Moisés Caicedo leads the Premier League in tackles and interceptions, a pivotal stat against Brighton’s high-energy midfield.

  • Brighton won both away and cup fixtures against Chelsea last season, but have yet to register a league away point this campaign.

Prediction

Chelsea’s defensive strength at home collides with Brighton’s unpredictable flair.

The Blues’ injuries and attacking uncertainties give Brighton a route into the game, but their dismal away form and tendency to fade in key moments may hold them back. Stamford Bridge has become a tough place for visitors, and Maresca’s side tend to rise to the occasion when under pressure.

Expect an open game with chances at both ends. Brighton will likely find the net, but Chelsea’s home momentum and defensive edge should see them scrape a narrow win.

Prediction: Chelsea 2-1 Brighton

Ben-oni Blay

Ben-oni Blay Quao is the lead writer and editor at Strictly CFC, specializing in Chelsea FC news, features, and tactical analysis. He holds an undergraduate degree in English and a master’s degree in Football Journalism.His work combines storytelling depth with football insight, shaped by academic training and hands-on coverage.Ben-oni is a verified journalist on MuckRack and maintains an active professional presence on LinkedIn, where he shares media contributions and football journalism insights.

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